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Oct 29

Predicting Rare Events by Shrinking Towards Proportional Odds

Training classifiers is difficult with severe class imbalance, but many rare events are the culmination of a sequence with much more common intermediate outcomes. For example, in online marketing a user first sees an ad, then may click on it, and finally may make a purchase; estimating the probability of purchases is difficult because of their rarity. We show both theoretically and through data experiments that the more abundant data in earlier steps may be leveraged to improve estimation of probabilities of rare events. We present PRESTO, a relaxation of the proportional odds model for ordinal regression. Instead of estimating weights for one separating hyperplane that is shifted by separate intercepts for each of the estimated Bayes decision boundaries between adjacent pairs of categorical responses, we estimate separate weights for each of these transitions. We impose an L1 penalty on the differences between weights for the same feature in adjacent weight vectors in order to shrink towards the proportional odds model. We prove that PRESTO consistently estimates the decision boundary weights under a sparsity assumption. Synthetic and real data experiments show that our method can estimate rare probabilities in this setting better than both logistic regression on the rare category, which fails to borrow strength from more abundant categories, and the proportional odds model, which is too inflexible.

  • 2 authors
·
May 29, 2023

An accurate detection is not all you need to combat label noise in web-noisy datasets

Training a classifier on web-crawled data demands learning algorithms that are robust to annotation errors and irrelevant examples. This paper builds upon the recent empirical observation that applying unsupervised contrastive learning to noisy, web-crawled datasets yields a feature representation under which the in-distribution (ID) and out-of-distribution (OOD) samples are linearly separable. We show that direct estimation of the separating hyperplane can indeed offer an accurate detection of OOD samples, and yet, surprisingly, this detection does not translate into gains in classification accuracy. Digging deeper into this phenomenon, we discover that the near-perfect detection misses a type of clean examples that are valuable for supervised learning. These examples often represent visually simple images, which are relatively easy to identify as clean examples using standard loss- or distance-based methods despite being poorly separated from the OOD distribution using unsupervised learning. Because we further observe a low correlation with SOTA metrics, this urges us to propose a hybrid solution that alternates between noise detection using linear separation and a state-of-the-art (SOTA) small-loss approach. When combined with the SOTA algorithm PLS, we substantially improve SOTA results for real-world image classification in the presence of web noise github.com/PaulAlbert31/LSA

  • 6 authors
·
Jul 7, 2024 4

The Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing, Formalized in Lean 4

The Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing states that a market is free of arbitrage exactly when it admits an equivalent martingale measure. We formalize it in Lean 4 over Mathlib in three settings: a finite-state market over a finite horizon (Harrison-Pliska), a one-period market on an arbitrary probability space with a single scalar return (Follmer-Schied), and a one-period market with finitely many assets. The finite case is the geometry of a separating hyperplane; the scalar one-period case is an elementary change of measure. In the d-asset case the equivalent martingale measure is constructed explicitly, as the minimiser of the smooth convex potential E[log(1+e^{langleθ,Yrangle})]: absence of arbitrage is precisely coercivity of the potential, its first-order condition is the martingale property, and the minimiser's logistic weight is the density of the measure. The construction uses no Hahn-Banach theorem, no L^0-closedness argument, no measurable selection, and no non-redundancy hypothesis. To our knowledge this is the first machine-checked Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing in any proof assistant. The boundary is explicit: the general multi-period Dalang-Morton-Willinger theorem lies outside the development. Every theorem is sorry-free, each headline result's axioms are pinned to Mathlib's classical defaults by a build-enforced gate, and the whole is reproducible from a pinned toolchain.

  • 1 authors
·
Jun 26

oHC: Orthogonal Hyper-Connections on SO(4) via Quaternions

Hyper-Connections (HC) replace the single residual stream of a Transformer with n parallel ones, mixing them at every layer with a learned n times n residual matrix. Leaving that matrix unconstrained places no limit on the factor by which the mixing step rescales the residual streams, and that factor compounds across layers, which destabilizes training. Manifold-constrained Hyper-Connections (mHC) address this by restricting the matrix to the doubly stochastic matrices. That caps the factor at one, so the mixing can no longer amplify any direction, but nothing bounds it from below. We prove that inside this set the mixing step can reduce the norm of the residual streams only by shrinking the differences between the streams, while their mean is left unchanged; and since the reduction accumulates over layers, the streams grow more alike and their diversity is spent with depth. We therefore propose Orthogonal Hyper-Connections (oHC), restricting the residual matrix to the rotation group SO(n), so that the mixing step can neither amplify nor attenuate the residual streams in any direction, which keeps training stable and no longer forces the differences between the streams to contract. Specifically, at the four streams used by recent HC models we parameterize the group in closed form by a pair of unit quaternions, which adds no parameters, replaces the iterative projection with a fixed pattern of signed additions, and can be constructed faster than mHC. We evaluate oHC across a comprehensive set of downstream tasks, where it outperforms the single-stream residual baseline, mHC and iHC, which fixes the residual matrix to the identity.

  • 8 authors
·
Sep 1

HyperTopo-Adapters: Geometry- and Topology-Aware Segmentation of Leaf Lesions on Frozen Encoders

Leaf-lesion segmentation is topology-sensitive: small merges, splits, or false holes can be biologically meaningful descriptors of biochemical pathways, yet they are weakly penalized by standard pixel-wise losses in Euclidean latents. I explore HyperTopo-Adapters, a lightweight, parameter-efficient head trained on top of a frozen vision encoder, which embeds features on a product manifold -- hyperbolic + Euclidean + spherical (H + E + S) -- to encourage hierarchical separation (H), local linear detail (E), and global closure (S). A topology prior complements Dice/BCE in two forms: (i) persistent-homology (PH) distance for evaluation and selection, and (ii) a differentiable surrogate that combines a soft Euler-characteristic match with total variation regularization for stable training. I introduce warm-ups for both the hyperbolic contrastive term and the topology prior, per-sample evaluation of structure-aware metrics (Boundary-F1, Betti errors, PD distance), and a min-PD within top-K Dice rule for checkpoint selection. On a Kaggle leaf-lesion dataset (N=2,940), early results show consistent gains in boundary and topology metrics (reducing Delta beta_1 hole error by 9%) while Dice/IoU remain competitive. The study is diagnostic by design: I report controlled ablations (curvature learning, latent dimensions, contrastive temperature, surrogate settings), and ongoing tests varying encoder strength (ResNet-50, DeepLabV3, DINOv2/v3), input resolution, PH weight, and partial unfreezing of late blocks. The contribution is an open, reproducible train/eval suite (available at https://github.com/ChimdiWalter/HyperTopo-Adapters) that isolates geometric/topological priors and surfaces failure modes to guide stronger, topology-preserving architectures.

  • 2 authors
·
Dec 28, 2025

Dynamics-Aware Adaptive Corridors with Feasibility-Perturbed Trust-Region SQP for Certified Nonholonomic Motion Planning

Optimisation-based parking planners usually impose collision constraints only at the time samples, so a vehicle corner can cut an obstacle between samples, and no executable trajectory exists until the solver converges. We present a planner for car-like vehicles with reverse gear in which every iterate of the optimisation phase satisfies the discretised dynamics exactly and keeps the whole vehicle rectangle clear of obstacles between the samples. Each time interval receives one convex corridor that holds all vehicle corners at both ends and is shrunk by a sweep margin bounding how far the corner paths leave their chords. Separating half-planes give the corridors a direction out of obstacles when the initial guess is in collision; later, heading-aligned boxes are grown from the speed, curvature and step of the current iterate and rebuilt after accepted steps. A feasibility-perturbed trust-region sequential quadratic programming method projects each step onto the dynamics by feedback and verifies it exactly; the cost decreases monotonically, and once the corridors stop changing, limit points are Karush-Kuhn-Tucker points of the corridor-constrained problem or violate a constraint qualification. On 820 benchmark cases the planner succeeds in 818 without penetration (797 from the first initial guess), none of the 7103 evaluated optimisation-phase iterates is unusable, and it succeeds in 96.5% of the cases when 99% of the initial guesses intersect an obstacle. Its maneuvers take 0.7% longer in the median than those of a similarly certified exact-collision baseline. The guarantees hold for the planning model, not for a physical vehicle.

  • 1 authors
·
Oct 4

Towards In-the-wild 3D Plane Reconstruction from a Single Image

3D plane reconstruction from a single image is a crucial yet challenging topic in 3D computer vision. Previous state-of-the-art (SOTA) methods have focused on training their system on a single dataset from either indoor or outdoor domain, limiting their generalizability across diverse testing data. In this work, we introduce a novel framework dubbed ZeroPlane, a Transformer-based model targeting zero-shot 3D plane detection and reconstruction from a single image, over diverse domains and environments. To enable data-driven models across multiple domains, we have curated a large-scale planar benchmark, comprising over 14 datasets and 560,000 high-resolution, dense planar annotations for diverse indoor and outdoor scenes. To address the challenge of achieving desirable planar geometry on multi-dataset training, we propose to disentangle the representation of plane normal and offset, and employ an exemplar-guided, classification-then-regression paradigm to learn plane and offset respectively. Additionally, we employ advanced backbones as image encoder, and present an effective pixel-geometry-enhanced plane embedding module to further facilitate planar reconstruction. Extensive experiments across multiple zero-shot evaluation datasets have demonstrated that our approach significantly outperforms previous methods on both reconstruction accuracy and generalizability, especially over in-the-wild data. Our code and data are available at: https://github.com/jcliu0428/ZeroPlane.

  • 5 authors
·
Jun 3, 2025

Endpoint-Stable Interval Inverse Inequalities for Multiscale Kernels with Positive Exponential Spectra

Inverse inequalities are essential for controlling derivative growth and ensuring stable sampling in kernel approximation. Existing whole-space and single-scale estimates provide an established analytical basis, but their extension to multiscale analytic spaces on finite intervals requires uniform control of boundary effects and cross-scale cancellation. This paper establishes unweighted interval \(L^2\) inverse inequalities for spaces generated by primitives of kernels with positive exponential spectra. By retaining exterior diagonal energy and controlling off-diagonal interactions through one-sided estimates with endpoint-distance weights, we derive uniform coefficient bounds for normalized high derivatives. A synthesis-operator perturbation argument extends these bounds to positive spectral mixtures, while adjacent-derivative comparison and interval interpolation yield an inverse bound of order \(h_*^{-1}\), where \(h_*\) is the smallest scale. Under geometric scale separation and within-scale centre separation, the constant is independent of the number of scales and centres and their distances from the endpoints, allowing endpoint centres and coincident centres across scales. The coefficient lower bound approaches the optimal limit \(1/2\). Two-centre constructions establish the sharpness of the scale exponent for every fixed kernel in the class and, for a single exponential spectrum, a sharp deficit of order \(q^{-1/2}\) from \(1/2\) for the best uniform coefficient lower bound, where \(q\) is the derivative order. Numerical illustrations for Cauchy and logistic kernels demonstrate coefficient stability in several multiscale configurations. These results extend interval inverse estimates to multiscale analytic kernel spaces with endpoint centres and provide quantitative conditions for deterministic sampling stability.

  • 2 authors
·
Oct 5